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“The U.S. economy has been resilient, with low unemployment and healthy consumer spending, yet significant risks loom. Inflation may persist due to ongoing spending requirements,
As we enter Q1 2025, the market landscape is shifting dramatically. With digital assets surging by 52% and small business optimism reaching a six-year high,
As we approach the end of 2024, the market landscape is shaped by a mix of resilience and uncertainty. With inflation slowing and the U.S.
While market valuations and credit spreads seem to reflect a rather benign economic outlook, we continue to be vigilant about potential tail risks.
In a landscape of higher nominal rates and an inverted yield curve, short-term bonds are emerging as a compelling investment option, offering attractive real yields
In the ever-evolving landscape of credit markets, recent trends reveal a complex interplay of risk and opportunity. Following the turbulence caused by the collapses of
As we navigate the complexities of Q4 2023, two significant storm clouds loom over the market: unprecedented fiscal spending and escalating geopolitical tensions. With predictions
Private capital fundraising has faced significant challenges since Q4 2021, with 2023 showing a stark decline in activity. Despite this, private debt and secondaries have
In the wake of recent banking turmoil, the credit markets are experiencing significant shifts. While perceived credit risk among large asset managers has surged, the
In the ever-evolving landscape of finance, uncertainty looms large as we navigate the aftermath of unprecedented monetary policies and market dynamics. With conflicting signals from
Inflation is often described as a hidden tax, eroding purchasing power and consuming capital. As we navigate the current economic landscape, understanding long-term inflation trends
Diversification is often hailed as the only free lunch in investing, a principle that can significantly enhance your long-term financial journey. By spreading investments across
Discover the latest insights into liquid credit trends and the evolving landscape of credit markets. Following the recent turmoil with major banks, the perceived credit
In the world of investing, the temptation to “time the market” can be strong, but is it truly worth the risk? As we navigate the
In Q2 2023, the financial landscape is marked by significant challenges and opportunities. With $42 billion withdrawn from a single bank in one day, the
In a shifting financial landscape, the decline of Treasury yields since the 1980s faces a potential reversal amid rising inflation. With the 2-year Treasury now
As inflation emerges, the U.S. Treasury market is witnessing a potential regime change, with yields on short-term government bonds finally offering attractive returns. The yield
Discover the intriguing dynamics of the gold market as it navigates through long-term trends and short-term corrections. With gold outperforming bonds and showing resilience against
As we navigate the complexities of 2023, the market outlook reveals a landscape shaped by tighter monetary policy, potential stagflation, and consumer challenges. With inflation
The third quarter was unusually challenging for U.S. investors as both U.S. large cap stocks (-4.9%) and bonds (-4.8%) declined together
The equity market rally off the June lows was broad based, with most major indices recovering about half of the years sell-off, markets now focused
Despite the risks, it is important to keep perspective.
Current cycle of growth dominance has experienced substantial mean reversion from a cycle peak in November 2021
For much of the decade leading up to COVID-19, a combination of excellent profitability and some of the least volatile economic conditions in history implied
Longer-term returns for gold are favorable relative to other safe-havens but over the short- term higher yields have increased the relative attractiveness of bonds at
The U.S. equity selloff has been broad-based in 2022 with stocks entering bear market territory in June
Treasury yields of all maturities had been declining since the early 1980s, but the emergence of inflation has triggered a potential regime change
Over the past 20 years, diversified portfolios have helped reduce volatility without giving up much upside
Ex-EM, credit spreads were near median across most sectors coming into June as almost all pain in credit was due to duration component (not spread
From “fighting” low inflation for over a decade, policymakers now must deal with the unfamiliar problem of inflation (now at 40-year highs)
From “fighting” low inflation for over a decade, policymakers now must deal with the unfamiliar problem of inflation (now at 40-year highs)
Inflation, geopolitical tensions, and monetary policy continue to dominate market discussions in Q2, 2022. With the Federal Reserve contemplating aggressive interest rate hikes to combat
Discover the latest trends in the Treasury market with our topical research. 2020 set off a series of unprecedented events, resulting in government debt levels
Is the current market drawdown the start of a new bear market or just a correction? What can we learn from past bear markets and
Despite the year-to-year volatility, longer-term returns on gold have been consistent across multiple currencies. Real yields, which typically have an inverse correlation with the price
Inflation is surprising forecasts on a global scale, a first since 2009.” This statement sets the tone for the Market Outlook report on Q1 of
Is gold still a valuable investment? Amid the pandemic and vaccine announcements, gold has had a rocky ride with mixed returns. However, long-term trends show
As the world grapples with the Omicron variant and its potential impact, one thing is clear: the pandemic remains significant and unpredictable. From trends in
The global economy has undoubtedly been shaken by the COVID-19 pandemic. As we move into the final quarter of 2021, there are renewed concerns about
With all-time highs seen in the stock market, home prices, and incomes, it’s hard to ignore the current state of the economy. But with high
SUMMARY “…the nationwide rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, the persistence of ultralow interest rates, and expectations for torrid economic growth have convinced America’s money managers that
Make no mistake – for the majority of the investors today, this could very well be the most important event of your investing lives. Speaking
This did not start as a financial crisis, but it is morphing into a major economic crisis, with very serious financial consequences…There’s a long road
Investors beware: Treasury yields are converging with zero, and yields on risk-free short-term government bonds are back to zero after trailing inflation for the past
The 2020 US presidential election is heating up with Joe Biden leading in polls and betting markets, although 14 states and 209 electoral votes remain
Should investors try to ‘time’ the market?” It’s a common question many people ask when considering investing, but the answer isn’t always clear. Volatility is
In the normal recession, unemployment goes up, delinquencies go up, charge-offs go up, home prices go down, none of that’s true here…Savings are up, incomes
“The worst pandemic in modern history was the Spanish flu of 1918, which killed tens of millions of people. Today, with how interconnected the world
Magnus Financial Group LLC is an independent, SEC-registered investment management firm headquartered in New York City. We specialize in providing customized wealth management and financial planning services to a diverse clientele, including high-net-worth individuals.
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